Friday, October 07, 2005

::.Angus Reid Consultants.::October 7, 2005 Casey Up, Santorum Down in Pennsylvania’s Senate Race

::.Angus Reid Consultants.::: "October 7, 2005
Casey Up, Santorum Down in Pennsylvania’s Senate Race

(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Bob Casey could win next year’s United States Senate election in the Keystone State, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 52 per cent of respondents in Pennsylvania would vote for the Democrat in a head-to-head contest against Republican incumbent Rick Santorum.

Casey has been Pennsylvania’s state treasurer since January 2005, and previously served as the state auditor general for eight years. Casey is the son of former Keystone State governor Robert P. Casey, and lost the 2002 Democratic primary to current governor Ed Rendell.

Santorum was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1994, and earned a second term in 2000, defeating Democrat Ron Klink with 53 per cent of all cast ballots. He had previously served for two consecutive terms in the House of Representatives.

Support for Casey increased by two points since July, while backing for Santorum fell by five points to 34 per cent. The U.S. Senate election is scheduled for November 2006.

The two camps had different views on the survey. Santorum’s spokesman John Brabender said, "It’s difficult to look at the polls and think it has any real relevance to what is going on in this particular race when you’re this far away." Conversely, Casey’s campaign manager Jay Reiff said voters "clearly understand that Rick Santorum is out-of-step with Pennsylvania."

Polling Data

If the 2006 election for senator were being held today, and the candidates were Bob Casey Jr. the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican for whom would you vote?

Oct. 2005
Jul. 2005
Apr. 2005

Bob Casey Jr. (D)
52%
50%
49%

Rick Santorum (R)
34%
39%
35%

Someone else
1%
--
1%

Would not vote
2%
1%
1%

Not sure
11%
11%
13%

Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,530 Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 27 to Oct. 3, 2005. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent."

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