Friday, September 16, 2005

WGAL - News - Pa. Voter Poll - Casey UP Santorum Down, Swan UP Screanton Showing Weekness - Rendell Steady

TheWGALChannel.com - News - Pennsylvania Voter Poll Shows President Slipping, Senate Race Heating Up: "Pennsylvania Voter Poll Shows President Slipping, Senate Race Heating Up

POSTED: 2:53 pm EDT September 15, 2005
UPDATED: 4:09 pm EDT September 15, 2005

The following is a poll of 1,200 likely voters in Pennsylvania over 18 years of age. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 points. It was conducted Sept. 10 to 12 by Strategic Vision LLC.

The following information is for the exclusive use of WGAL and thewgalchannel.com until 7 a.m. Friday morning. Copying is prohibited.

Presidential Issues

The results of the poll showed that 39% of those polled approved of President Bush’s overall job performance, with 51% disapproving and 10% undecided. When asked to rate the President’s handling of the economy, 40% approved; 50% disapproved; and 10% were undecided. On the issue of Iraq, the poll found 47% approved of the President’s handling; with 45% disapproving; and 8% undecided. On the issue of Hurricane Katrina, 35% approved of the President’s handling of the response to Hurricane Katrina; 55% disapproved; and 10% were undecided.

Pa. Senate Race

In the United States Senate race, which is expected to be one of the most competitive in the nation, the poll found that 45% approved of Sen. Rick Santorum’s job performance; 40% disapproved; and 15% were undecided. In a match-up against potential Democratic nominee Robert Casey, Jr., Santorum trails, 52% to 38%; 3% for another candidate with 7% undecided.

Rendell's Standing

The poll showed that 46% of the respondents approved of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance; with 40% disapproving; and 14% undecided.

When Republican voters were asked their choice to challenge Rendell, 39% selected former Pittsburgh Steeler player, Lynn Swann; 30% selected former Lieutenant Governor Bill Scranton; 10% selected State Senator Jeff Piccola; and 21% were undecided.

In a match-up between Governor Rendell and Swann, the results were Rendell 48%; Swann 43%; and 9% undecided. In a match-up between Rendell and Scranton, the results were Rendell 47%; Scranton 42%; and 11% undecided. In a match-up between Rendell and Piccola, the results were Rendell 50%; Piccola 34%; and 16% undecided.

Roe V. Wade

When asked if they wanted to see the Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade, 39% said yes; 56% said no; and 5% were undecided.

Iraq

When asked if they would support an immediate withdrawal of United States troops from Iraq, 34% said yes; 57% said no; and 9% were undecided.

Expecting A Terrorist Attack

When asked if they expect a terrorist attack within the United States in the near future, 55% said yes, 28% said no; and 17% were undecided.

Specter's Approval

Pennsylvania’s senior Senator Arlen Specter received a 52% job approval; with 35% disapproving; and 13% undecided.

Rendell For Prez?

When asked if they want Gov. Rendell to run for President, 11% said yes; 50% said no; and 39% were undecided. When asked if they want Senator Santorum to run for President in 2008, 9% said yes; 56% said no; and 35% were undecided.

Drawing Party Lines

When Democrats were asked their choices for President in 2008, the results were New York Senator Hillary Clinton 40%; former Vice President Al Gore, 17%; Massachusetts Senator John Kerry 10%; former North Carolina Senator John Edwards 6%; Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell 5%; Delaware Senator Joe Biden 3%; former General Wesley Clark 3%; Virginia Governor Mark Warner 2%; Indiana Senator Evan Bayh 1%; New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson 1%; Iowa Governor Tom Vilsak 1%; Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold 1%; California Senator Barbara Boxer 1%; and 9% undecided.

On the Republican side, the choices for President in 2008 were former New York Mayor Rudy Guliani 41%; Arizona Senator John McCain 27%; Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist 6%; Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney 4%; Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum 3%; New York Governor George Pataki 3%; former House Speaker Newt Gingrich 3%; Virginia Senator George Allen 1%; Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel 1%; and 11% undecided.

When asked if they would like to see Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice run for President in 2008, 39% said yes; 30% said no; and 31% were undecided.

With Rice included in the Republican field the results were, on the Republican side, the choices for President in 2008 were former New York Mayor Rudy Guliani 37%; Arizona Senator John McCain 22%; Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice 12%; Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist 5%; Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum 3%; New York Governor George Pataki 2%; Governor Mitt Romney 2%; former House Speaker Newt Gingrich 2%; Virginia Senator George Allen 1%; Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel 1%; and 13% undecided.

Pa. Right Way?

When asked if they thought Pennsylvania was going in the right direction, 38% said right; 49% said wrong; and 13% were undecided."

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